Implied Volatility Surface Modelling

Download PDF Abstract This project develops a coherent framework for modelling the implied volatility surface by combining stochastic volatility, local volatility, and smile-consistent interpolation techniques. Starting from market conventions, risk-neutral valuation, and vanilla option pricing, the work introduces the volatility surface as a mapping from strikes and maturities to implied Read more…

Time Series Momentum Strategy with Macro-Instrumented Regime Switching

Download PDF Abstract This research presents a Time Series Momentum (TSMOM) trading strategy implemented on highly liquid exchange-traded funds (SPY and GLD), enhanced with a novel macro-instrumented regime switching framework for state-dependent de-risking. Our approach addresses the well-documented momentum crash problem—sudden reversals that can wipe out months of accumulated gains Read more…

Market Recap 23/11/2025

Download PDF USA Following significant increases in stock market enthusiasm, particularly in technology and AI sectors, over the past few weeks, concerns have emerged regarding the sustainability of this growth. Consequently, the market cooled down this week, with the sell-off from the end of last week continuing. Not even Nvidia’s Read more…