Implied Volatility Surface Modelling

Download PDF Abstract This project develops a coherent framework for modelling the implied volatility surface by combining stochastic volatility, local volatility, and smile-consistent interpolation techniques. Starting from market conventions, risk-neutral valuation, and vanilla option pricing, the work introduces the volatility surface as a mapping from strikes and maturities to implied Read more…

Time Series Momentum Strategy with Macro-Instrumented Regime Switching

Download PDF Abstract This research presents a Time Series Momentum (TSMOM) trading strategy implemented on highly liquid exchange-traded funds (SPY and GLD), enhanced with a novel macro-instrumented regime switching framework for state-dependent de-risking. Our approach addresses the well-documented momentum crash problem—sudden reversals that can wipe out months of accumulated gains Read more…