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Equity Indices Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas

Let it be (volatile)

“Fear tends to manifest itself much more quickly than greed, so volatile markets tend to be on the downside. In up markets, volatility tends to gradually decline.” Philip Roth Introduction As options and other products whose price depends on volatility have become widespread, studying its behaviour is now a key Read more…

By BSIC, 12 years6 December 2014 ago
Equity Indices Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas

Put/call ratio as a guide to market sentiment: the S&P 500 case

Market volatility has increased recently, and also the endless linear trend of the S&P 500 has been marginally affected. Quoting some numbers, the VIX index moved to over 26 in mid-October from a minimum of 10 reached this summer. Volatility is a sign of market nervousness; besides being common during Read more…

By BSIC, 12 years23 November 2014 ago
Markets Old Articles Single Stocks Trade Ideas

Trade idea: take advantage of the low-volatility environment with a butterfly strategy

Trade idea: take advantage of the low-volatility environment with a butterfly strategy After breaking several all-time highs the US indices are now poised to move higher with less and less volatility. Good news coming from the job market and retail sales is welcome with a sudden decrease in implied volatility Read more…

By BSIC, 13 years16 March 2013 ago

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Looking for something worth listening to this summ Looking for something worth listening to this summer?
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BSIC Article of the Week: "Catching the Butterfly: BSIC Article of the Week: "Catching the Butterfly: A Relative Value Approach in OIS Curves"

When a yield curve misprice isn't random noise — it's a trade. We apply Principal Component Analysis to USD SOFR, EUR €STR, and GBP SONIA curves to reconstruct theoretical fair value, identify statistically significant dislocations, and pitch a live butterfly trade on the 6m GBP forward strip — all against the backdrop of a Bank of England caught between surging oil prices and a fragile disinflation path. 

👉 Read the full article on our website

#bsic #finance #fixedincome #interestrates #yieldcurve #PCA #quantitativefinance #ratestrading #swaps #macroeconomics
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BSIC Article of the Week: "A Taste for Separation: BSIC Article of the Week: "A Taste for Separation: Analysing Unilever's Strategic Break-Up"

Unilever is separating its food business from its personal care empire in a $44.8bn deal with McCormick — a transaction nearly a decade in the making, structured through a Reverse Morris Trust to minimise taxes and maximise strategic focus. But with 65% of the consideration paid in McCormick stock and leverage climbing to 4.0x, the real question is whether this is a clean value unlock or a complex bet on execution. 

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#bsic #finance #unilever #mccormick #mergersandacquisitions #consumerstaples #spinoff #valuation #corporatestrategy #activistinvesting
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#bsic #markets #bocconi #finance #financeclub #financialmarkets #club #studentclub #investing #articles
Navigating the Next Cycle: Dealmaking and Capital Navigating the Next Cycle: Dealmaking and Capital Flows in a New Market Regime — what an evening! 

A huge thank you to Niccolò Consonni (EQT Group), Andrea Simonetti (Gruppo Unipol), and Chengxue Chen (Lazard) for sharing their expertise at Bocconi Students Investment Club's latest speaker event.

The conversation around deal structures, capital allocation, and where markets are heading gave all of us a lot to think about. Thanks also to Professor Massimo Della Ragione for moderating such a dynamic discussion.

#BSIC #BocconiUniversity #PrivateEquity #InvestmentBanking
BSIC Article of the Week: "Black Gold, Broken Stat BSIC Article of the Week: "Black Gold, Broken State: A Primer on Venezuela's Collapse and the Economics of Recovery"

Venezuela holds the world's largest proven oil reserves, yet has experienced one of the worst economic collapses of the 21st century — a paradox rooted not in resource scarcity, but in decades of institutional decay, fiscal mismanagement, and political capture of its oil sector.

👉 Read the full article on our website

#bsic #finance #venezuela #oil #emergingmarkets #geopolitics #macroeconomics #pdvsa #commodities
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