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Currencies Equity Indices Fixed Income Macroeconomic Views Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas

BSIC Market Recap 15|03|14

[edmc id=1554][/edmc] U.S. At the end of a week dominated primarily by uncertainty, markets mostly closed in negative territory. Signs of the week that’s past can be clearly seen in the VIX index which has been on a constant hike path since the beginning of 2014. The VIX is seen Read more…

By BSIC, 12 years15 March 2014 ago
Equity Indices Fixed Income Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas

BSIC Market Recap 09|03|14

[edmc id=1492][/edmc] US Positive data for the US economy has come out this week. Manufacturing PMI of February (53.2) showed a significant improvement with respect to January (51.3) and beat expectations of 52.0. The most interesting indicators, however, concern labour force. On February 175k new jobs were created in the Read more…

By BSIC, 12 years9 March 2014 ago
Currencies Equity Indices Fixed Income Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas

BSIC Market Recap 01|03|14

[edmc id=1406][/edmc] US The economy grew at a slower pace than it was first estimated. Indeed, the fourth quarter GDP growth estimate was revised down to 2.4%, in contrast with the initial estimation of 3.2%. This revision was attributed to lower consumer spending growth. As this data adds to a Read more…

By BSIC, 13 years1 March 2014 ago
Equity Indices Fixed Income Macroeconomic Views Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas

BSIC Market Recap 22|02|14

[edmc id=1325][/edmc] BSIC MARKET RECAP 22/02/2014 U.S. Stocks in the U.S. edged lower on Friday after quite a good week data wise: producer and consumer price index coming in as forecasted but better than expected on a monthly basis, markit’s manufacturing PMI scoring the highest variation in nearly four years. Read more…

By BSIC, 13 years22 February 2014 ago
Currencies Equity Indices Fixed Income Macroeconomic Views Markets Old Articles

Prepare for Tapering

There seems to be a consensus in the market that the Fed will gradually start tapering in the next few months (our guesses at BSIC is in December). Therefore it is time to understand what could happen to markets and get prepared. What could happen on the equity market in Read more…

By BSIC, 13 years30 November 2013 ago
Currencies Equity Indices Fixed Income Macroeconomic Views Markets Old Articles

BSIC Markets Division Macro View: 16|11|13

Two main issues dominated the week, the Yellen speech in front of the senate and the BoE inflation report. Ms. Yellen’s tone was strongly dovish and we understand why. The US economy is not ready for a December tapering. Inflation is declining from 2% in July to 1.2% now and Read more…

By BSIC, 13 years16 November 2013 ago

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Looking for something worth listening to this summ Looking for something worth listening to this summer?
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BSIC Article of the Week: "Catching the Butterfly: BSIC Article of the Week: "Catching the Butterfly: A Relative Value Approach in OIS Curves"

When a yield curve misprice isn't random noise — it's a trade. We apply Principal Component Analysis to USD SOFR, EUR €STR, and GBP SONIA curves to reconstruct theoretical fair value, identify statistically significant dislocations, and pitch a live butterfly trade on the 6m GBP forward strip — all against the backdrop of a Bank of England caught between surging oil prices and a fragile disinflation path. 

👉 Read the full article on our website

#bsic #finance #fixedincome #interestrates #yieldcurve #PCA #quantitativefinance #ratestrading #swaps #macroeconomics
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BSIC Article of the Week: "A Taste for Separation: BSIC Article of the Week: "A Taste for Separation: Analysing Unilever's Strategic Break-Up"

Unilever is separating its food business from its personal care empire in a $44.8bn deal with McCormick — a transaction nearly a decade in the making, structured through a Reverse Morris Trust to minimise taxes and maximise strategic focus. But with 65% of the consideration paid in McCormick stock and leverage climbing to 4.0x, the real question is whether this is a clean value unlock or a complex bet on execution. 

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#bsic #finance #unilever #mccormick #mergersandacquisitions #consumerstaples #spinoff #valuation #corporatestrategy #activistinvesting
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Navigating the Next Cycle: Dealmaking and Capital Navigating the Next Cycle: Dealmaking and Capital Flows in a New Market Regime — what an evening! 

A huge thank you to Niccolò Consonni (EQT Group), Andrea Simonetti (Gruppo Unipol), and Chengxue Chen (Lazard) for sharing their expertise at Bocconi Students Investment Club's latest speaker event.

The conversation around deal structures, capital allocation, and where markets are heading gave all of us a lot to think about. Thanks also to Professor Massimo Della Ragione for moderating such a dynamic discussion.

#BSIC #BocconiUniversity #PrivateEquity #InvestmentBanking
BSIC Article of the Week: "Black Gold, Broken Stat BSIC Article of the Week: "Black Gold, Broken State: A Primer on Venezuela's Collapse and the Economics of Recovery"

Venezuela holds the world's largest proven oil reserves, yet has experienced one of the worst economic collapses of the 21st century — a paradox rooted not in resource scarcity, but in decades of institutional decay, fiscal mismanagement, and political capture of its oil sector.

👉 Read the full article on our website

#bsic #finance #venezuela #oil #emergingmarkets #geopolitics #macroeconomics #pdvsa #commodities
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