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Markets

Japan, 30 years of economic failure: have we finally come to a reflationary turn?

Download PDF Introduction The Japanese economy was a peculiar case in the last 50 years. From growing its GDP at 7% a year in the post-war boom period, after the 1990’s bubble, it sunk into a disastrous vicious cycle, made of negative growth, deflation, credit crunch, liquidity trap and a Read more…

By BSIC, 1 year14 April 2024 ago
Markets

FX Interventions: Rationale, Effectiveness, and Recent Developments

Download PDF Introduction The current macroeconomic landscape is shaped by high inflation, increasing interest rates, and growing risk aversion. The diverging realities nations are facing due to the Russia-Ukraine war, the ensuing energy crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic, the looming global recession, and more, are putting policymakers’ decisions in the limelight. Read more…

By BSIC, 3 years9 October 2022 ago
Markets

Uncovering the reasons behind the Yen’s (recent) weakness

Download PDF Introduction Recent data on the USD/JPY pair showed a significant strengthening of the US dollar against the Japanese currency, reaching an all-time high since 2016, marking almost a 5% decline YTD. This piece of news, however, is only the most recent episode of a significant weakening streak in Read more…

By BSIC, 3 years27 March 2022 ago
Currencies Markets Old Articles Quantitative Finance Trade Ideas

Behind the Yen rally: Japan’s era of negative rates

Japanese Yen touched a 17-month high of Y107.61 versus the US dollar this Monday. The safe haven currency has rallied more than 10 percent after Bank of Japan’s surprising negative interest rate decision on banks’ excess reserves in late January. Japanese government also sold 10-year bonds with a yield below Read more…

By BSIC, 9 years17 April 2016 ago
Currencies Equity Indices Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas

Abenomics: tracing back the arrows

The purpose of the article is to provide an explanation on the economic policies of the third largest economy in the world. In particular, explanation of Abenomics’ three arrows, their effects on Japanese economy and our view on the next steps that policy makers are likely to undertake. With this Read more…

By BSIC, 10 years7 November 2015 ago
Equity Indices Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas

Trade idea: short put Nikkei – strike 14000

From a technical point of view, NIKKEI recent movements do not deliver any blatant signal to ground expectations on: last closure stands close to the moving average and the RSI lies flat around 50.  However, we believe it’s worth to take a stand on the general markets’ sentiment over Japan. Read more…

By BSIC, 12 years25 May 2013 ago
Business Valuation Corporate Finance Long Term Investment Markets Old Articles Single Stocks

The decline of Japan’s Toshiba

Japan’s Toshiba said Wednesday that its quarterly net earnings fell 62 percent from the previous year as demand for its televisions, computers and other digital products stumbled. The technology and engineering corporation said it earned 23.01 billion yen ($233 million) between January and March 2013, the last quarter of its Read more…

By BSIC, 12 years11 May 2013 ago
Currencies Markets Old Articles

Trade Idea: FX update, Long USD/JPY

After having come very close to the 100 peak, this week the USD lost some ground to the JPY trading close to the 98 level. We believe that the next target is obviously the breaking out of the 100 line. On the one hand we have updates from BOJ governor Read more…

By BSIC, 12 years20 April 2013 ago

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