Evidence from Google Trends data: Can low Investor Sentiment still predict inefficiencies in the Stock Market?

Download PDF Introduction Trading strategies revolve around several sources of edge, ranging from discretionary macro ideas, fundamental based stock picking to more sophisticated ones such as factors exposure or high-frequency algorithms. One area which the current literature pays little attention to is sentiment trading, which can be established in several Read more…

“Well, CAN WE PREDICT?”: Backtesting Trading Strategies on Prediction Markets’ Cryptocurrency Contracts

Download PDF Introduction/Recap:   This article is intended to be a continuation of the previous “Well, CAN THEY PREDICT?” article which was focused upon developing methodology to price Kalshi weekly prediction contract probabilities of being in-the-money (specifically those functioning as a BTC digital option) using a risk-neutral framework upon stochastic processes. Read more…

Retail review

Download PDF Introduction A retailer is a company or individual that sells goods or services directly to consumers, typically in small quantities for personal or household use. Positioned at the final stage of the supply chain, retailers reach consumers through brick-and-mortar stores, digital platforms, or a blend of both. While Read more…

Geopolitics: A “New” M&A Driver?

Download PDF Introduction Geopolitics has become an increasingly influential factor in M&A, shaping and influencing deals whose rationale now goes beyond financial and strategic considerations, to national security concerns and soft power demonstration. Recent, and growing, geopolitical tensions between global powers, especially between the Western and the Eastern hemisphere, have Read more…

Market Recap 23/03/2025

Download PDF USA Major U.S. indices managed to close in positive territory on Friday, recovering from earlier losses after President Trump suggested some flexibility on tariffs, while several megacap stocks had a comeback. The S&P 500 edged higher by 0.1%, the Dow Jones added 32 points, and the Nasdaq gained Read more…

Behavioral Biases in Fixed Income Investing

Download PDF Introduction Behavioral finance challenges traditional assumptions of rational investor decision-making as behavioral biases systematically influence investment decisions in the financial world. This article explores how these biases influence investment decisions and examines how financial product design can exploit or mitigate such biases. First, we explain the fundamental concept Read more…