Download PDF Nike – BUY Target Price $183, 149% Upside Disclaimer: this article was written on the day of the CEO change announcement, September 19th when stock was trading at around 73 Euros, as reflected in our calculated target price and upside. Introduction Nike Inc., the company with the largest Read more…
Download PDF Introduction The efficiency of football odds has been widely debated over the past years, especially as competition grew in the industry and forced bookmakers to improve their predictive power on the back of lower margins. In this article, we explore some of the biases present in the football Read more…
Download PDF USA The week started with a mixed performance for US stocks with Dow Jones hitting a new record high and investors treading carefully ahead of the Federal Reserve key policy meeting on Wednesday. Monday was a bad day for the tech sector with Apple shares dropping 2.8% on Read more…
Download PDF Introduction Since its initial birth in medieval ages, and its formal establishment in the 20th century, in the past fifty Islamic finance has seen tremendous growth. In recent times Shari’ah-compliant bonds have been issued to many countries worldwide, including Nigeria, United Kingdom, and Malaysia. Nowadays, the Maldives are Read more…
Download PDF Abstract In this study, we propose a two-step methodology for the creation and optimization of investment portfolios utilizing machine learning techniques. Our analysis focuses on S&P 500 stocks from 2008 to 2022, incorporating fundamental data, stock prices, and macroeconomic variables as features in our models. The initial phase Read more…
Download PDF Introduction Merger Arbitrage tackle the potential of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) to yield returns irrespective of market conditions. By examining the transaction dynamics, we illustrate how arbitrageurs capitalize on the ‘deal spread’ – the difference between the current market price and the proposed acquisition price. As we navigate Read more…
Download PDF USA Despite a week marked by volatility in the markets, stocks closed higher, showcasing resilience amidst economic fluctuations. Notably, growth stocks surpassed value shares, contributing to the overall positive sentiment. Small-cap companies outshone their large-cap counterparts, propelling the Russell 2000 Index back into positive territory for the year-to-date Read more…
Download PDF Introduction In this article we present a systematic, factor-based approach to credit investing. Our aim is to give the reader a wholistic view of the process that brings to life a systematic investment strategy: from the collection of data, a non-trivial task within the credit space, to the Read more…
Download PDF Introduction Global economies faced a lot of growth pressure in the last two years arising from rising interest rates, increased inflation, geo-political tensions, and a slowdown in the Chinese property market. Some of these issues are likely to remain a key theme throughout the year. The monetary cycle Read more…
Download PDF USA This week in USA equities, the S&P500 closed 3% lower than last week but nonetheless still +4.73% YTD. The main take-aways from earnings season results released this week include Paramount Global and American Express Co emerging as top gainers, exhibiting the highest percent gains over a single Read more…
Download PDF Introduction Natural language processing has recently become a tool with great applications in finance. Companies like JPM, Deutsche Bank, Statestreet are using NLP software to extract alternative data such as social media platforms sentiment, extract key insights from research reports and even flag possible executive deception by analyzing Read more…
Download PDF Introduction The Japanese economy was a peculiar case in the last 50 years. From growing its GDP at 7% a year in the post-war boom period, after the 1990’s bubble, it sunk into a disastrous vicious cycle, made of negative growth, deflation, credit crunch, liquidity trap and a Read more…
Download PDF USA This week, U.S. financial markets faced mixed signals amid volatile inflation data and shifting expectations for Federal Reserve policy actions. The S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced fluctuations, closing down from their recent highs, reflecting investors’ reactions to economic indicators and central bank commentary. Read more…
Download PDF Introduction Feature engineering and selection are crucial for optimizing machine learning models. Through thoughtful feature engineering, models can capture essential insights from the data, which may otherwise remain hidden, thereby improving the predictive accuracy. On the other hand, effective feature selection reduces model complexity, which not only speeds Read more…
Download PDF Introduction Catastrophe bonds (CAT bonds), also called “Act-of-God” bonds, or “cat-in-the-box” bonds, have emerged as a compelling investment strategy, particularly highlighted by their performance in 2023, where they generated the best returns (+19.69%) of any alternative investment strategy, according to Preqin. These instruments are key for the insurance Read more…