[edmc id=1325][/edmc] BSIC MARKET RECAP 22/02/2014 U.S. Stocks in the U.S. edged lower on Friday after quite a good week data wise: producer and consumer price index coming in as forecasted but better than expected on a monthly basis, markit’s manufacturing PMI scoring the highest variation in nearly four years. Read more…
In our previous semester, we repeatedly stated our bearish position on Pandora Media (P). Our analysis focused mainly on three key points: – Growing competitors – Slowing users’ and revenues’ growth – Unprofitable Business model Since our first report the stock is up 50,6% and 218.88% YoY: investors feel confident Read more…
Since the last time we wrote, many things have happened on the markets. The Fed has finally turned on its tapering programme in mid-December and said it would unwind its asset purchasing by another 10 billion in February. This long expected event has provoked what news broadcasters all over the Read more…
Since the beginning of the year, a sector rotation seems to have started: cyclical stocks, especially those that are more exposed to Europe, have taken advantage of the improvement of the general feeling, while non-cyclical securities have experienced a general downturn. Among the latter category, luxury stocks (that have outperformed Read more…
[edmc id=998][/edmc] BSIC MARKETS DIVISION MACRO VIEW US This week’s US data releases showed improvement in the economic sentiment: GDP and labour market confirmed our view on US Economy. The second estimate of third-quarter GDP was revised from 2.8% to 3.6%. However, we must point out that positive GDP growth Read more…
The investment banking industry is expected to announce lacklustre returns for 2013, despite an improving global economy, soaring asset prices and abundant liquidity. According to Deutsche Bank, the overall revenue pool is forecasted to be down by 6% (FICC down by 18%, Equity up by 28% mostly driven by equity Read more…
History is full of surprises, even regarding financial history. For example do you know that the only futures contracts you cannot trade are the ones on onions? This is not a joke but a serious piece of law, the Onion Futures Act passed on august 1958. Indeed in 1955, two Read more…
After analyzing Moncler’s fundamentals last week (https://bsic.it/2013/11/30/piazza-affari-revival-moncler-ipo/), in this article we want to provide a more practical description of how it would be possible to profit from the hottest IPO of the year on Borsa Italiana. We have investigated three different ways of benefitting from Moncler’s IPO: • Underwrite the Read more…
US This week has been really quiet for the US. Two main issues arise: the initial jobless claims surprise on the downside (actual 316K vs expected 330K), and the decline in the durable goods orders. (-2%) in October. With regard to the first data, although it is clearly good for Read more…
After a difficult year, Apple – almost flat YTD compared with a 27% rally in S&P500 – seems to be on its way to recovery. Source: Thumbcharts.com Since Q4 earnings release the stock has already rallied 10%, but especially this week a new wave of optimism has pushed the stock Read more…
In the last quarter report, IBM announced revenues for $23.7bn (consensus $24.75bn) EPS at $3.99 (consensus $3.96), a light and shade result that followed a similar quarter (Q2), with a beat on earnings per share ($3,91) and a miss on revenues ($24,9bn) and the weakest quarter of the last years Read more…
There seems to be a consensus in the market that the Fed will gradually start tapering in the next few months (our guesses at BSIC is in December). Therefore it is time to understand what could happen to markets and get prepared. What could happen on the equity market in Read more…
Panel 22|11|2013 US This week Bernanke surprised the markets outlining the chance of early tapering of QE (December meeting). For us this is quite surprising, as we still believe the US economy is not performing as well as it was believed this spring. Three main reasons have worsened our outlook Read more…
What game is the Fed playing? The Fed’s unconventional monetary policy so far has been a mix of Market policy (or, better, Balance Sheet policy) and Mouth policy. Indeed, great part of the job has been done “manipulating” expectations to make agents reacted to Fed stimuli the way it meant Read more…
Alibaba, the Chinese business to business e-commerce giant, is expected to file for an IPO in the next quarter; this highly expected IPO, that is valued at around US$190-200bn has already a huge impact in public markets, precisely in two tech corporations: Softbank and Yahoo!. Even if the financial situation Read more…