Download PDF Introduction Recent discourse on the US economy has centered on a supposed AI-driven bubble. Nearly $1.5tn is being poured into data centers, microchips, and R&D in 2025, despite vague, circular business models. This has led regulators and experts (e.g., Michael Burry betting against Nvidia [NASDAQ: NVDA] and Palantir Read more…
Download PDF Introduction The precious metals market is reaching sky-high valuations; gold (Au) has broken $4,000 per ounce for the first time in history, dragging silver (Ag) to its decade-best levels alongside. The rally emerges as geopolitical uncertainty and conflicts drive central banks and investors to these traditional safe havens. Read more…
Download PDF Introduction The Japanese economy was a peculiar case in the last 50 years. From growing its GDP at 7% a year in the post-war boom period, after the 1990’s bubble, it sunk into a disastrous vicious cycle, made of negative growth, deflation, credit crunch, liquidity trap and a Read more…
Download PDF Introduction “When I see a bubble forming, I rush in to buy, adding fuel to the fire.” This is a famous quote by George Soros. It probably inspired Jarrow and Kwok to write their paper, Inferring Financial Bubbles from Option Data where they attempt to take advantage of Read more…
Download PDF What is a SPAC? A Special Purpose Acquisitions Company (SPAC) is a shell company set up by investors with the only purpose of raising money through an IPO in order to eventually acquire another company. They are also known as “blank-check companies” since they generally don’t have a Read more…
The “Green rush” is the way in which the media has described the incredible “bull-run” which has characterized the equities engaging in the cannabis sector. In this article we are going to analyze the industry, explaining its history, characteristics and main players. We are going to focus in the later Read more…
On Thursday 23rd of April 2015, the NASDAQ Composite surpassed the March 2000 dotcom bubble level of 5048.62, closing at 5056.06. On Friday it has then gained furthermore closing at 5092. Looking at the NASDAQ Composite (the market capitalization weighted index includes almost all the companies listed in the NASDAQ Read more…
Internet domains are an important alternative asset class in the web industry: lots of companies and investors use them for speculative reasons (a good domain name could be sold for million) or in order to avoid domain “hijacking” from competitors (although the trademark legislation covers also domain names). The valuation Read more…
The sharp increase in UK property prices-predominantly but not limited to the London area- over the last year has led many to believe such a trend has become unsustainable. According to Nationwide Building Society, Real estate prices registered an 18% annual change in London since 2013, while the average UK Read more…
The Emerging Markets sell-off of late January highlighted the importance of the Chinese economy in the global markets and the instability of its financial sector. China has pulled global growth in the last decade, attracting investments, exporting goods all over the world and financing businesses and governments, especially the US. Read more…
In our previous semester, we repeatedly stated our bearish position on Pandora Media (P). Our analysis focused mainly on three key points: – Growing competitors – Slowing users’ and revenues’ growth – Unprofitable Business model Since our first report the stock is up 50,6% and 218.88% YoY: investors feel confident Read more…
In our Special Report (https://bsic.it/2013/10/19/bsic-special-report-twitter-ipo/), we analyzed Twitter’s characteristics, comparables and ratios. We valued Twitter shares at approximately 25$, really close to the final offering price (26$). After the IPO, Twitter’s share price dramatically soared to 45$, an unbelievable 72% surge: Source: Bloomberg Analysts seem to agree with our view, Read more…
Last week we suggested shorting three Japanese financials in light of the 10-years JGB price fall, going at the same time long Olympus Corp. and the Nikkei index, in case no more easing was announced on Tuesday night. Kuroda kept monetary policy on hold and so we entered the trade Read more…
INTRODUCTION During last months in Japan, extreme monetary policies – also known as Abenomics – implemented by the duo Abe-Kuroda to fight deflation and give a kick to the stagnant economy, have caused a huge reaction all over the markets: the Yen has been slashed, Nikkei index has been skyrocketing Read more…