The Emerging Markets sell-off of late January highlighted the importance of the Chinese economy in the global markets and the instability of its financial sector. China has pulled global growth in the last decade, attracting investments, exporting goods all over the world and financing businesses and governments, especially the US. Read more…
[edmc id=1641][/edmc] US This week has been full of economic data. The most relevant are the following: – Final GDP growth for 4th 2013 quarter q/q is 2,6%, still mainly driven by inventories. – Flash manufacturing PMI is at 55.5, a bit lower than expectations. However, this suggests a manufacturing Read more…
[edmc id=1589] [/edmc] US Another volatile week for the markets and for the U.S. ended on Friday amid concerns over Russia. As was expected, Crimea voted for annexation to Russia on Sunday 16th and this led to further sanctions to a group of Russian wealthy individuals that rattled Russia’s economy Read more…
[edmc id=1554][/edmc] U.S. At the end of a week dominated primarily by uncertainty, markets mostly closed in negative territory. Signs of the week that’s past can be clearly seen in the VIX index which has been on a constant hike path since the beginning of 2014. The VIX is seen Read more…
Brent and WTI are the two most largely traded qualities of Oil. We will see that they are different not only in the quality and price, but also in the main drivers of their performance. Brent is a relatively light and sweet quality, originally extracted in the Northern Sea and Read more…
[edmc id=1492][/edmc] US Positive data for the US economy has come out this week. Manufacturing PMI of February (53.2) showed a significant improvement with respect to January (51.3) and beat expectations of 52.0. The most interesting indicators, however, concern labour force. On February 175k new jobs were created in the Read more…
Since the last time we covered Apple in late November, the situation has changed dramatically, with new factors affecting our recommendation on the stock. Among others, we think that the recent appointment of a new CFO may be significantly relevant. Indeed, according to some analysts cited by the Wall Street Read more…
[edmc id=1406][/edmc] US The economy grew at a slower pace than it was first estimated. Indeed, the fourth quarter GDP growth estimate was revised down to 2.4%, in contrast with the initial estimation of 3.2%. This revision was attributed to lower consumer spending growth. As this data adds to a Read more…
The Emerging Markets boom has been driven mostly by easy money and commodity exports. As the Federal Reserve continues to retreat its massive bond-buying programme, and China shows signs of a slowdown, Emerging Markets are taking a hit. We’ve seen their currencies depreciate dramatically and their stock markets plunge. The Read more…
[edmc id=1325][/edmc] BSIC MARKET RECAP 22/02/2014 U.S. Stocks in the U.S. edged lower on Friday after quite a good week data wise: producer and consumer price index coming in as forecasted but better than expected on a monthly basis, markit’s manufacturing PMI scoring the highest variation in nearly four years. Read more…
Since the last time we wrote, many things have happened on the markets. The Fed has finally turned on its tapering programme in mid-December and said it would unwind its asset purchasing by another 10 billion in February. This long expected event has provoked what news broadcasters all over the Read more…
There seems to be a consensus in the market that the Fed will gradually start tapering in the next few months (our guesses at BSIC is in December). Therefore it is time to understand what could happen to markets and get prepared. What could happen on the equity market in Read more…
Cinda Market Cap (as of 22/11/13): N/A News surfaced on Thursday, November 21st that Chinese bad bank Cinda is finalizing the details of its long awaited Hong Kong IPO, which is expected to bring in up to HK$19bn (US$2.45bn) in fresh equity financing. The company will offer around 5bn shares Read more…
Alibaba, the Chinese business to business e-commerce giant, is expected to file for an IPO in the next quarter; this highly expected IPO, that is valued at around US$190-200bn has already a huge impact in public markets, precisely in two tech corporations: Softbank and Yahoo!. Even if the financial situation Read more…
Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA, Market Cap (as of 15/11/13): US$112.19bn PetroChina Co Ltd, Market Cap (as of 15/11/13): US$226.3bn Brazil’s state-run oil company Petrobras announced on Wednesday 13th November that it was selling its Peruvian oil and gas assets to PetroChina for US$2.6 billion. The ownership structure underlying the deal Read more…