[edmc id=1641][/edmc] US This week has been full of economic data. The most relevant are the following: – Final GDP growth for 4th 2013 quarter q/q is 2,6%, still mainly driven by inventories. – Flash manufacturing PMI is at 55.5, a bit lower than expectations. However, this suggests a manufacturing Read more…
[edmc id=1589] [/edmc] US Another volatile week for the markets and for the U.S. ended on Friday amid concerns over Russia. As was expected, Crimea voted for annexation to Russia on Sunday 16th and this led to further sanctions to a group of Russian wealthy individuals that rattled Russia’s economy Read more…
[edmc id=1554][/edmc] U.S. At the end of a week dominated primarily by uncertainty, markets mostly closed in negative territory. Signs of the week that’s past can be clearly seen in the VIX index which has been on a constant hike path since the beginning of 2014. The VIX is seen Read more…
[edmc id=1492][/edmc] US Positive data for the US economy has come out this week. Manufacturing PMI of February (53.2) showed a significant improvement with respect to January (51.3) and beat expectations of 52.0. The most interesting indicators, however, concern labour force. On February 175k new jobs were created in the Read more…
[edmc id=1406][/edmc] US The economy grew at a slower pace than it was first estimated. Indeed, the fourth quarter GDP growth estimate was revised down to 2.4%, in contrast with the initial estimation of 3.2%. This revision was attributed to lower consumer spending growth. As this data adds to a Read more…
[edmc id=1325][/edmc] BSIC MARKET RECAP 22/02/2014 U.S. Stocks in the U.S. edged lower on Friday after quite a good week data wise: producer and consumer price index coming in as forecasted but better than expected on a monthly basis, markit’s manufacturing PMI scoring the highest variation in nearly four years. Read more…
Since the last time we wrote, many things have happened on the markets. The Fed has finally turned on its tapering programme in mid-December and said it would unwind its asset purchasing by another 10 billion in February. This long expected event has provoked what news broadcasters all over the Read more…
[edmc id=998][/edmc] BSIC MARKETS DIVISION MACRO VIEW US This week’s US data releases showed improvement in the economic sentiment: GDP and labour market confirmed our view on US Economy. The second estimate of third-quarter GDP was revised from 2.8% to 3.6%. However, we must point out that positive GDP growth Read more…
The main idea of the trade is to buy IND and sell USD, implementing what in jargon is called a carry trade. In the chart above we can see the 3-month trend of this risky pair, which has actually been under the spotlight in the past couple of months since Read more…
After three days we decided to close our position on the EURUSD as our trade did not play out. In the end we were almost flat so we did not lose money. However we keep our bullish view on the USD and we decided to change the pair and to Read more…
After having come very close to the 100 peak, this week the USD lost some ground to the JPY trading close to the 98 level. We believe that the next target is obviously the breaking out of the 100 line. On the one hand we have updates from BOJ governor Read more…
Trade idea: Short Nikkei Long NZDJPY The volatility of the recent week, ahead of the Italian election, has pushed up the safety havens assets as investors turned more risk averse, in particular the JPY appreciated significantly. However, we noticed that the Nikkei 225 Index does not weaken consequently so the Read more…
Trade Idea: Short AUD/JPY It is well known that the BoJ is pursuing a really aggressive expansionary monetary policy that clearly is pushing down the Yen compared to other currencies. However, we see a possible reverse in the short term trend of the pair AUD/JPY. From a technical point Read more…
There is a strong trend in place and we believe that it may continue in future. On the macroeconomic point the BoE is committed to a strong expansionary monetary policy and the new president claiming that inflation target may notbe the only goal of the bank with more focus on Read more…
Trade Idea: play the positive momentum of the EUR/USD pair The EUR/USD exchange rate recently dropped down from a high of 1.364, reached on the 1st of February, to 1.3349. We believe that there is the space for a short term rebound of the pair up to 1.345-1.35 and maybe Read more…