Panel 22|11|2013 US This week Bernanke surprised the markets outlining the chance of early tapering of QE (December meeting). For us this is quite surprising, as we still believe the US economy is not performing as well as it was believed this spring. Three main reasons have worsened our outlook Read more…
Alibaba, the Chinese business to business e-commerce giant, is expected to file for an IPO in the next quarter; this highly expected IPO, that is valued at around US$190-200bn has already a huge impact in public markets, precisely in two tech corporations: Softbank and Yahoo!. Even if the financial situation Read more…
From a technical point of view, NIKKEI recent movements do not deliver any blatant signal to ground expectations on: last closure stands close to the moving average and the RSI lies flat around 50. However, we believe it’s worth to take a stand on the general markets’ sentiment over Japan. Read more…
Last week we suggested shorting three Japanese financials in light of the 10-years JGB price fall, going at the same time long Olympus Corp. and the Nikkei index, in case no more easing was announced on Tuesday night. Kuroda kept monetary policy on hold and so we entered the trade Read more…
Third Point LLC, Asset Under Management (as of 17/05/13): $12.9bn Sony Corporation (SNE), Market Capitalization (as of 17/05/13): $20.37bn Deal type: Spin-off Proposal via IPO Mr. Daniel Seth Loeb, manager and founder of the NY based hedge fund Third Point LLC, has recently turned his attention toward Japan and Sony Read more…
INTRODUCTION During last months in Japan, extreme monetary policies – also known as Abenomics – implemented by the duo Abe-Kuroda to fight deflation and give a kick to the stagnant economy, have caused a huge reaction all over the markets: the Yen has been slashed, Nikkei index has been skyrocketing Read more…
After three days we decided to close our position on the EURUSD as our trade did not play out. In the end we were almost flat so we did not lose money. However we keep our bullish view on the USD and we decided to change the pair and to Read more…
Japan’s Toshiba said Wednesday that its quarterly net earnings fell 62 percent from the previous year as demand for its televisions, computers and other digital products stumbled. The technology and engineering corporation said it earned 23.01 billion yen ($233 million) between January and March 2013, the last quarter of its Read more…
After having come very close to the 100 peak, this week the USD lost some ground to the JPY trading close to the 98 level. We believe that the next target is obviously the breaking out of the 100 line. On the one hand we have updates from BOJ governor Read more…
We believe that in case of a strong distress the Nikkei index can suffer the most. Why not European equities? We believe that European equities have already suffered from the recent turmoil while the Japanese index has been heavily unaffected and has recently rallied dramatically, completely diverging from fundamentals whose Read more…
Trade idea: Short Nikkei Long NZDJPY The volatility of the recent week, ahead of the Italian election, has pushed up the safety havens assets as investors turned more risk averse, in particular the JPY appreciated significantly. However, we noticed that the Nikkei 225 Index does not weaken consequently so the Read more…
Trade Idea: Short AUD/JPY It is well known that the BoJ is pursuing a really aggressive expansionary monetary policy that clearly is pushing down the Yen compared to other currencies. However, we see a possible reverse in the short term trend of the pair AUD/JPY. From a technical point Read more…