The new (old) high correlation

Empirical evidence suggests that correlation between asset classes tends to spike during a period of market crisis, because investors panic and sell indiscriminately. This phenomenon is usually short-lived and correlation returns to a normal level as the market stabilizes. During the 2008 financial crisis, this effect was amplified by a Read more…

China: a hot summer

In our May article (https://bsic.it/chinese-divergence-real-vs-financial/), we underlined how many difficulties China faced. We also analysed the development of a stock market bubble in the Shanghai Composite equity index (SHCOMP) and in the Shenzhen CSI 300 (SHSZ300) equity index. This summer saw that bubble bursting. The SHCOMP was trading at 3,185 Read more…

Market Recap 09/05/2015

US It was a busy week for many economies around the world and especially the US had its share of important monthly data coming in. US equity and bond markets were driven primarily by monthly US non-farm payroll (NFP) and unemployment rate. Economists’ average forecasts were for a net 224,000 Read more…