After having come very close to the 100 peak, this week the USD lost some ground to the JPY trading close to the 98 level. We believe that the next target is obviously the breaking out of the 100 line. On the one hand we have updates from BOJ governor Read more…
We believe that in case of a strong distress the Nikkei index can suffer the most. Why not European equities? We believe that European equities have already suffered from the recent turmoil while the Japanese index has been heavily unaffected and has recently rallied dramatically, completely diverging from fundamentals whose Read more…
We believe that the strong fundamentals of the US economy will further push the USD that recently has underperformed its counterparties. However we believe that in the long run the currency will appreciate. We suggest two ways to take advantage of this outlook: First by selling put options on the Read more…
Trade idea: take advantage of the low-volatility environment with a butterfly strategy After breaking several all-time highs the US indices are now poised to move higher with less and less volatility. Good news coming from the job market and retail sales is welcome with a sudden decrease in implied volatility Read more…
Herbalife LTD. is a small cap company, by every measure. It sells weight management, nutritional supplement, energy, sports & fitness products and personal care products. It was founded in 1980 by Mark Hughes, who is still the president. It has a market capitalization of $4.27bn and some growing net sales. Read more…
HSBC Holdings, Plc Market Cap (as of 8/03/13): $203.55bn Newcastle Investment Corporation Market Cap (as of 8/03/13): $2.83bn On March the 5th HSBC Finance Corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary of HSBC Holdings Plc, agreed to sell a portfolio of unsecured and homeowner loans to Newcastle Investment Corporation and SpringLeaf Finance, Read more…
Trade idea: exploit the autocorrelation of all-time highs The US is growing, unemployment is back to 2008 level and confidence has increased. Stocks followed through and set an all-time high. The situation we are in puts many investors out of their comfort zone. Many seek to get back into stocks, Read more…
Technical analysis: Facebook has been out of favour for a while, following a disappointing IPO that pushed into negative territory the P&L of the new shareholders. However, during the downturn a bullish pattern has formed. The stock trajectory has created a cup-and-handle that historically predicts a surge in price. The Read more…
Trade idea: Long Eurostoxx 50 We believe that the current bullish sentiment can continue in the short term so we suggest to take a long position in the risky assets that have been underperforming during the recent weeks and that did not break out their recent highs. Scanning the markets Read more…
Follow-up on last week’s trade idea Last week we recommended to exploit the breakouts that many stocks were poised to make. A breakout is a situation where a stock is about to break highs but it’s resilient to do so as it is held back by fear. A increase in Read more…
Follow-up on last week’s trade ideas: Change our spread Long NZDJPY Short Nikkei future Mar 13 With regard to the former idea of trading the spread Long NZDJPY Short Nikkei Future we have been encountered a loss of -2,51%. This was due to the high volatility of the Nikkei pushed Read more…
Trade Idea: exploit bullish breakouts and buy protection with an Index short trade Bad news coming from Europe with the altogether disappointing outcome of our elections did not divert the uptrend of the US indices. The Dow Jones surged close to the key 14,082 resistance. As it is usually observed Read more…
Trade idea: short Mediolanum In the next few weeks Italian financials will be under stress in our opinion. Uncertainty is likely to keep ruling the markets for political reasons and macroeconomic fundamentals are still concerning as shown by recent releases of February PMI index (45.8, -2 month on month) or Read more…
Trade idea: Short Nikkei Long NZDJPY The volatility of the recent week, ahead of the Italian election, has pushed up the safety havens assets as investors turned more risk averse, in particular the JPY appreciated significantly. However, we noticed that the Nikkei 225 Index does not weaken consequently so the Read more…
Long term investment: long Apple Today Apple reached a new 52 weeks low at 431.88 in a historical fall, losing from September highs nearly 39% of its market value. Moreover it closed red 8 of the last 10 trading days. We believe this is a great opportunity to buy one Read more…