Download PDF Introduction From the challenge of sustainably transitioning to renewable energy sources to having to step up production to provide energy security in a time of crisis, the Oil and Gas industry has constantly found itself in the spotlight in recent years. The importance of this industry stems from Read more…
Download PDF Introduction Once again, we are approaching the end of the year, but this time, perhaps more than ever, the takeaways to bring home look exceptionally valuable: living in a world full of uncertainty due to the spread of COVID-19 pandemic represents indeed an increasingly demanding challenge for market Read more…
Download PDF An introduction to the airline industry and the ecosystem around it When assessing the state of the economy of a country, sometimes we overlook the importance that the airline industry plays in its smooth functioning. This is due to the fact that its contribution to GDP is only Read more…
The current bull market has been continuing (with certain fallbacks) for around ten years. This has left people questioning when and, more precisely, where will the next crisis come from. In search of a potential contagion, we had our attention drawn to Canada, a seemingly safe economy which had emerged Read more…
Historically, correlation among different risky assets has increased during periods of financial crisis: losses in one market spread to others, thus creating “contagion”. The increased correlation phenomenon is confirmed by our previous analysis on the topic (https://bsic.it/new-old-high-correlation/). Furthermore, there is also the so-called “flight to quality”, meaning that investors move Read more…
Empirical evidence suggests that correlation between asset classes tends to spike during a period of market crisis, because investors panic and sell indiscriminately. This phenomenon is usually short-lived and correlation returns to a normal level as the market stabilizes. During the 2008 financial crisis, this effect was amplified by a Read more…
Macroeconomic scenario in 1997 In 1997, speculative attacks against the Thai baht forced the country to float and devalue its currency in a move that was followed by the Philippines, Malaysia, Singapore, and Indonesia. Then, Hong Kong stock market experienced a massive decline, which consequently led to losses in markets Read more…
US Big news has struck the US economy this week and in particular the ones oil-related has had a strong effect on the market. The US economy has been once again the main driver of the fall in oil prices this week as the country’s stockpiles of crude last week Read more…
US The week ended with a boom for the US economy as the November jobs report was released on Friday. 321,000 new jobs were created in the last month, well ahead of economists’ forecasts of 230,000. This piece of news puts the US economy on track to achieve the best Read more…
US The week just past us was one of slight gains in US equity markets, with most volume on Tuesday and Wednesday due to the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday. The week opened with a soft print of the US services PMI, then trading became jittery for the S&P 500 as Read more…
US US equities continued to trade sideways in the last week due to the lack of news catalysts. The only major pieces of news out were the number of initial and continuing jobless claims diffused on Thursday and the retail sales figures released on Friday. The anticipation of the former Read more…
On normal market days, the (positive) correlation between gold and silver is quite high. Looking at the chart below, it looks like silver gives chase to the movements in gold and follows them quite closely. One thing we can observe though is that downside changes in gold reflect more heavily Read more…
US It has been a busy week for US markets, filled with plenty of data and the outcome of the midterms on November 4th. The result of these was a Republican takeover of the Senate, and in all the expression of dissatisfaction or anger at Mr Obama’s performance. The S&P Read more…
US After turmoil in the recent weeks US equities are back to all-time highs. Very solid data on consumer confidence and a Q3 GDP growth rate print of 3.5%, above a lower forecast of 3%, propelled the S&P 500 to 2018.05. Not even the completion of tapering on Wednesday stopped Read more…
US Last week’s losses were followed by some more, as the S&P 500 lost 0.75% to close at 1967.9 and the NASDAQ Composite and DJIA went down 0.81% and 0.6% respectively from their values at the end of last week. Stocks took a beating on Tuesday and Wednesday especially as Read more…