Can Next Crisis Come from Canada?

The current bull market has been continuing (with certain fallbacks) for around ten years. This has left people questioning when and, more precisely, where will the next crisis come from. In search of a potential contagion, we had our attention drawn to Canada, a seemingly safe economy which had emerged Read more…

The future of gold: the full hedge role is at risk

Historically, correlation among different risky assets has increased during periods of financial crisis: losses in one market spread to others, thus creating “contagion”. The increased correlation phenomenon is confirmed by our previous analysis on the topic (https://bsic.it/new-old-high-correlation/). Furthermore, there is also the so-called “flight to quality”, meaning that investors move Read more…

The new (old) high correlation

Empirical evidence suggests that correlation between asset classes tends to spike during a period of market crisis, because investors panic and sell indiscriminately. This phenomenon is usually short-lived and correlation returns to a normal level as the market stabilizes. During the 2008 financial crisis, this effect was amplified by a Read more…