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Commodities Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas

Can silver rise when gold falls? This is the question

On normal market days, the (positive) correlation between gold and silver is quite high. Looking at the chart below, it looks like silver gives chase to the movements in gold and follows them quite closely. One thing we can observe though is that downside changes in gold reflect more heavily Read more…

By BSIC, 12 years15 November 2014 ago
Currencies Equity Indices Macroeconomic Views Markets Old Articles

MARKET RECAP 08/11/2014

US It has been a busy week for US markets, filled with plenty of data and the outcome of the midterms on November 4th. The result of these was a Republican takeover of the Senate, and in all the expression of dissatisfaction or anger at Mr Obama’s performance. The S&P Read more…

By BSIC, 12 years8 November 2014 ago
Currencies Equity Indices Macroeconomic Views Markets Old Articles

MARKET RECAP 01/11/2014

US After turmoil in the recent weeks US equities are back to all-time highs. Very solid data on consumer confidence and a Q3 GDP growth rate print of 3.5%, above a lower forecast of 3%, propelled the S&P 500 to 2018.05. Not even the completion of tapering on Wednesday stopped Read more…

By BSIC, 12 years1 November 2014 ago
Currencies Equity Indices Fixed Income Macroeconomic Views Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas

MARKET RECAP 03/10/2014

US Last week’s losses were followed by some more, as the S&P 500 lost 0.75% to close at 1967.9 and the NASDAQ Composite and DJIA went down 0.81% and 0.6% respectively from their values at the end of last week. Stocks took a beating on Tuesday and Wednesday especially as Read more…

By BSIC, 12 years4 October 2014 ago
Currencies Equity Indices Fixed Income Macroeconomic Views Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas

MARKET RECAP 27/09/2014

US Equity markets in the US lost ground this week, ending short of the fresh highs touched in the previous one. Macroeconomic data came in mixed, as a solid manufacturing PMI and positive data on new home sales on Tuesday and Wednesday were confounded by disappointing durable goods orders and Read more…

By BSIC, 12 years27 September 2014 ago
Currencies Equity Indices Fixed Income Macroeconomic Views Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas

BSIC Market Recap 20|09|2014

US US equities enjoyed significant gains in the week just past us after trading sideways for most of the summer. The S&P 500 was 1.25% above its closing value last Friday, closing now firmly above the 2,000 level at 2,010. The index clocked in its largest gains mid-week, on the Read more…

By BSIC, 12 years20 September 2014 ago
Currencies Equity Indices Fixed Income Macroeconomic Views Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas

MARKET RECAP 29|03|14

[edmc id=1641][/edmc] US This week has been full of economic data. The most relevant are the following: – Final GDP growth for 4th 2013 quarter q/q is 2,6%, still mainly driven by inventories. – Flash manufacturing PMI is at 55.5, a bit lower than expectations. However, this suggests a manufacturing Read more…

By BSIC, 12 years29 March 2014 ago
Currencies Equity Indices Fixed Income Long Term Investment Macroeconomic Views Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas

MARKET RECAP 22|03|14

[edmc id=1589] [/edmc] US Another volatile week for the markets and for the U.S. ended on Friday amid concerns over Russia. As was expected, Crimea voted for annexation to Russia on Sunday 16th and this led to further sanctions to a group of Russian wealthy individuals that rattled Russia’s economy Read more…

By BSIC, 12 years22 March 2014 ago
Currencies Equity Indices Fixed Income Macroeconomic Views Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas

BSIC Market Recap 15|03|14

[edmc id=1554][/edmc] U.S. At the end of a week dominated primarily by uncertainty, markets mostly closed in negative territory. Signs of the week that’s past can be clearly seen in the VIX index which has been on a constant hike path since the beginning of 2014. The VIX is seen Read more…

By BSIC, 12 years15 March 2014 ago
Equity Indices Fixed Income Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas

BSIC Market Recap 09|03|14

[edmc id=1492][/edmc] US Positive data for the US economy has come out this week. Manufacturing PMI of February (53.2) showed a significant improvement with respect to January (51.3) and beat expectations of 52.0. The most interesting indicators, however, concern labour force. On February 175k new jobs were created in the Read more…

By BSIC, 12 years9 March 2014 ago
Corporate Finance Equity Deals M&A Deals Old Articles

Vivendi clings to telecom. Bouygues or Numericable potential partners

Vivendi: Mkt Cap €27.21bn (as of 07/03/14) Bouygues SA: Mkt Cap €9.61bn (as of 07/03/14) Numericable: Mkt Cap €3.52bn (as of 07/03/14) In November 2013, French media and telecom conglomerate Vivendi announced plans to spin off its mobile telephone division, SFR, in an effort to refocus its operations in the Read more…

By BSIC, 12 years9 March 2014 ago
Currencies Equity Indices Fixed Income Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas

BSIC Market Recap 01|03|14

[edmc id=1406][/edmc] US The economy grew at a slower pace than it was first estimated. Indeed, the fourth quarter GDP growth estimate was revised down to 2.4%, in contrast with the initial estimation of 3.2%. This revision was attributed to lower consumer spending growth. As this data adds to a Read more…

By BSIC, 13 years1 March 2014 ago
Equity Indices Fixed Income Macroeconomic Views Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas

BSIC Market Recap 22|02|14

[edmc id=1325][/edmc] BSIC MARKET RECAP 22/02/2014 U.S. Stocks in the U.S. edged lower on Friday after quite a good week data wise: producer and consumer price index coming in as forecasted but better than expected on a monthly basis, markit’s manufacturing PMI scoring the highest variation in nearly four years. Read more…

By BSIC, 13 years22 February 2014 ago
Corporate Finance Debt Deals M&A Deals Old Articles

BNP Paribas continues its quest for growth

BNP Paribas Market Cap (as of 07/12/13): €65.77bn Rabobank Market Cap (as of 07/12/13): N/A (not listed) BGZ Market Cap (as of 07/12/13): €927.48mln Back in 2011, the sovereign-debt crisis that hit Europe caused U.S. investors to cut back on lending to European banks. France’s BNP Paribas struggled at first Read more…

By BSIC, 13 years8 December 2013 ago
Currencies Equity Indices Fixed Income Macroeconomic Views Markets Old Articles

BSIC Market Recap 30|11|13

US This week has been really quiet for the US. Two main issues arise: the initial jobless claims surprise on the downside (actual 316K vs expected 330K), and the decline in the durable goods orders. (-2%) in October. With regard to the first data, although it is clearly good for Read more…

By BSIC, 13 years30 November 2013 ago

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BSIC Article of the Week: "Catching the Butterfly: BSIC Article of the Week: "Catching the Butterfly: A Relative Value Approach in OIS Curves"

When a yield curve misprice isn't random noise — it's a trade. We apply Principal Component Analysis to USD SOFR, EUR €STR, and GBP SONIA curves to reconstruct theoretical fair value, identify statistically significant dislocations, and pitch a live butterfly trade on the 6m GBP forward strip — all against the backdrop of a Bank of England caught between surging oil prices and a fragile disinflation path. 

👉 Read the full article on our website

#bsic #finance #fixedincome #interestrates #yieldcurve #PCA #quantitativefinance #ratestrading #swaps #macroeconomics
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BSIC Article of the Week: "A Taste for Separation: BSIC Article of the Week: "A Taste for Separation: Analysing Unilever's Strategic Break-Up"

Unilever is separating its food business from its personal care empire in a $44.8bn deal with McCormick — a transaction nearly a decade in the making, structured through a Reverse Morris Trust to minimise taxes and maximise strategic focus. But with 65% of the consideration paid in McCormick stock and leverage climbing to 4.0x, the real question is whether this is a clean value unlock or a complex bet on execution. 

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#bsic #finance #unilever #mccormick #mergersandacquisitions #consumerstaples #spinoff #valuation #corporatestrategy #activistinvesting
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Navigating the Next Cycle: Dealmaking and Capital Navigating the Next Cycle: Dealmaking and Capital Flows in a New Market Regime — what an evening! 

A huge thank you to Niccolò Consonni (EQT Group), Andrea Simonetti (Gruppo Unipol), and Chengxue Chen (Lazard) for sharing their expertise at Bocconi Students Investment Club's latest speaker event.

The conversation around deal structures, capital allocation, and where markets are heading gave all of us a lot to think about. Thanks also to Professor Massimo Della Ragione for moderating such a dynamic discussion.

#BSIC #BocconiUniversity #PrivateEquity #InvestmentBanking
BSIC Article of the Week: "Black Gold, Broken Stat BSIC Article of the Week: "Black Gold, Broken State: A Primer on Venezuela's Collapse and the Economics of Recovery"

Venezuela holds the world's largest proven oil reserves, yet has experienced one of the worst economic collapses of the 21st century — a paradox rooted not in resource scarcity, but in decades of institutional decay, fiscal mismanagement, and political capture of its oil sector.

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#bsic #finance #venezuela #oil #emergingmarkets #geopolitics #macroeconomics #pdvsa #commodities
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