Given the recent market volatility, and the prolonged commodity rout, we decided to investigate whether some long-term relationships are still present on the market. And, of course, we looked for potential trades arising from the situation. We analysed different commodities on different time-frames (from 5-minute to weekly data). While noise Read more…
BSIC Weekly Market Brief United States Last week decision by the FED to keep the cost of money unchanged was still affecting the stock market, pushing the S&P500 down during the first part of this week. On the other hand, the yield on the 10-year Treasury Notes has floated quite Read more…
In our May article (https://bsic.it/chinese-divergence-real-vs-financial/), we underlined how many difficulties China faced. We also analysed the development of a stock market bubble in the Shanghai Composite equity index (SHCOMP) and in the Shenzhen CSI 300 (SHSZ300) equity index. This summer saw that bubble bursting. The SHCOMP was trading at 3,185 Read more…
Volkswagen AG; market cap (as of 25/09/15): €55.0bn Small Software, Big Turmoil Volkswagen, the second largest carmaker in the world, headquartered in Wolfsburg, Germany, is in the middle of one of the largest automotive scandals to date. The company was discovered cheating on the emission tests by installing software Read more…
Driven by strong growth in China, the announcement of QE in the Eurozone and a solid recovery in the US, the automotive sector experienced a remarkable rally since the beginning of the year to the end of June. The SXAP (STOXX Europe 600 Automobiles & Parts Index) expanded more than Read more…
Is the Italian asset management industry entering its roaring years? In this report we try to analyze the current situation and to find an answer to this question. First, we focus our attention on the typical financial portfolio of Italian households. We will see how it can be broken down Read more…
In 2014 oil prices crashed. In June 2014, the price of Western Texas Intermediate[1] oil was $115.12 while in December it was $53.77. There are several reasons for abrupt decline in price. The main cause was the rapid supply growth which overwhelmed moderate demand. The political turmoil in Iraq and Read more…
After weeks of firm bull sentiment, major equity markets (especially European ones) have experienced a fast correction that, although small compared to the incredible year-to-date performance, has started to disturb the overall view of investors. Such a movement has coincided with a rebound on the EUR/USD, which postponed the breakout Read more…
US It was a busy week for many economies around the world and especially the US had its share of important monthly data coming in. US equity and bond markets were driven primarily by monthly US non-farm payroll (NFP) and unemployment rate. Economists’ average forecasts were for a net 224,000 Read more…
The Move. The PBoC has recently cut the Required Reserve Ratio (RRR) to 18.5%. The RRR represents the portion of cash that banks must deposit with the central bank. The size of the cut has been 100 basis point, double the expected 0.50%. A cut of the RRR represents a Read more…
US US equities failed to push through record territory and retreated from last Friday’s all-time high driven down by disappointing earnings reports and poor economic data. On Friday, the S&P 500 closed down at 2,108.29 from its Monday record peak of 2,125. Nasdaq Composite, the tech-heavy index, fell to 5,005.39 Read more…
After our last week’s report on the NASDAQ, we further analyse PE ratios, their meaning and the factors that drive them this week Researchers from the NY Fed have raised the point that the Equity Risk Premium (ERP) – conceptually defined as the excess return expected from investing into stocks Read more…
If you general use Fineco to set your trades you might consider buying Fineco itself! Fineco (FBK.MI) has been listed on Milan stock exchange last July, for a price of 3.7 Euro a share, for a total market cap of 2,2 Billion, granting Unicredit 673 Million (+ 101 Million of Read more…
On Thursday 23rd of April 2015, the NASDAQ Composite surpassed the March 2000 dotcom bubble level of 5048.62, closing at 5056.06. On Friday it has then gained furthermore closing at 5092. Looking at the NASDAQ Composite (the market capitalization weighted index includes almost all the companies listed in the NASDAQ Read more…
Greece has returned in the spotlight again. Since the hard left government of Alexis Tsipras took office in January, tough negotiations on structural reforms, between the new government and Greece’s international creditors, began and they are still ongoing. Fresh worries are now driven by the risk of a partial default Read more…