On March 15th the merger was approved by the boards of the two companies, based on an exchange ratio of 1 newly issued ordinary share in Atlantia for 9 ordinary shares in Gemina. Atlantia shares seemed to be quite overvalued (8,9x the adjusted EBITDA; 7,5x for Gemina), but since March the price has increased from 12 EUR to 14 EUR while Gemina increased from 1,30 to 1,52 (now its price is 1,47). We suggest to short Atlantia and long Gemina in order to follow the decrease of the spread.
The Ceiling Moved in July. The Numbers Have Not Caught Up.
Salzgitter AG (SZG GR): BUY Target Price EUR 70, 26% Upside, 12 to 18 Month Horizon Note: this piece was written in September 2026 with the shares trading at EUR 55.65, which is the reference price behind every multiple and every per share figure below. Sell side estimates cited are Deutsche Bank.
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