Macroeconomic Views Markets Old Articles Special Report
BSIC Monetary Policy 101: Fed Hiking Path
Fed hiking path explained
Markets Old Articles Single Stocks Trade Ideas
A system to profit: Banca Sistema!
The recent turmoil enduring since the beginning of the year affected in particular energy and financial sectors. Italian banks were hit by a panic sell off that shrank, and in the worst cases halved, their capitalization even though fundamental factors are strong for most of them and no rationality can Read more…
Commodities Currencies Equity Indices Fixed Income Macroeconomy Markets Old Articles
Market Recap 14-02-2016
[edmc id= 3343]Download here the Weekly Market Brief[/edmc] United States US economic data came in mixed, giving supple reason for the volatility seen in financial markets. The S&P 500 is trading near 2014 lows, due to intense dollar weakness on the back of the futures market pricing in almost 0% chance Read more…
Markets Old Articles Special Report
BSIC Guide to 2016 Financial Markets
2016 is highly likely to be the year when a generation of traders and analysts will play in an environment characterised by rising interest rates (especially, in the US) for the first time in their career. On the other side, however, expansive monetary policies will still be present in most Read more…
Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas
Argentina: New Prospects and Old Risks
Quick Overview Argentina is one of the largest economies of South America, with a Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of more than USD 540bn. It enjoys good relations with most of the countries in the region, particularly Brazil and Venezuela. The country also plays a leading role in regional policymaking as Read more…
Commodities Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas
China and commodities, is there any trade opportunity?
Commodities rout is one of the key themes that have characterised 2015. Further to oil and gold (which we covered last week https://bsic.it/future-gold-full-hedge-role-risk/), several basic resources, like industrial metals, have been suffering for months, but they may be affected by slightly different factors than the former. Through this article, we Read more…
Commodities Currencies Equity Indices Fixed Income Macroeconomy Old Articles
Market Recap and Brief 29-11-2015
[edmc id= 3290]Download here the Weekly Market Brief[/edmc] United States A flurry of US data came out this week. Consumer sentiment came in at 91.3 in November, below an initial reading of 93.1. New home sales rose to 10.7%, taken as positive despite coming in below consensus. Consumer spending increased 0.1% Read more…
Currencies Equity Indices Fixed Income Macroeconomy Markets Old Articles
Market Recap and Brief 22-11-2015
[edmc id= 3279]Download here the Weekly Market Brief[/edmc] United States Once again, the discussion around the expected Fed policy decisions in December has dominated the week in the US markets. The minutes of the Fed October meeting, released on Wednesday, hardened expectations of an interest rate hike. They also hinted at Read more…
Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas
Volatility-linked strategy: a new approach
Can volatility indices provide useful signals on the “underlying” market? We tried to figure it out analysing some relations between the VIX and other indices provided by the Chicago Board Options Exchange. The VIX index, which is derived from prices of a basket of out-of-the-money options on the S&P500, represents Read more…
Commodities Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas
The future of gold: the full hedge role is at risk
Historically, correlation among different risky assets has increased during periods of financial crisis: losses in one market spread to others, thus creating “contagion”. The increased correlation phenomenon is confirmed by our previous analysis on the topic (https://bsic.it/new-old-high-correlation/). Furthermore, there is also the so-called “flight to quality”, meaning that investors move Read more…
Markets Old Articles Single Stocks Special Report
Special Report: European Investment Banks – Not All Gloom and Doom
The European banking sector has been facing significant changes in the post crisis era. Regulatory headwinds, a myriad of litigation charges and the lack of a credible strategy at many institutions have seen the sector fall out of favor with equity investors. Though, admittedly, these challenges might not have been Read more…
Markets Old Articles Single Stocks Trade Ideas
Ferrari: too fast outside the circuit?
[edmc id= 3236]Download here the Ferrari Pitch[/edmc] After having covered the IPO of Ferrari (https://bsic.it/wanna-flawless-ferrari-52-now-feasible/) in detail a couple of weeks ago, we are now trying to identify RACE’s market positioning in terms of multiples. The structure of the analysis is as follows: firstly, we plot Ferrari’s positioning against major automakers Read more…
Commodities Currencies Equity Indices Fixed Income Markets Old Articles
Market Recap & Weekly Brief14-11-2015
[edmc id= 3197]Download here the Weekly Market Brief[/edmc] United States The one just ended has been a pretty volatile week for the US market, with investors continuing to show some concern about the possibility of a rate hike in December in an environment of still uneven economic growth. Deteriorating growth outlooks Read more…
Currencies Equity Indices Fixed Income Macroeconomy Markets Old Articles
Market Recap and Weekly Brief 07-11-2015
[edmc id= 3174]Download here the Weekly Market Brief[/edmc] United States US economy has seen many macroeconomic data being released this week, in particular regarding the labour market, while the FED governor had a speech that has strongly affected the markets on Wednesday. The labour market has been the main actor of Read more…
Equity Indices Markets Old Articles Trade Ideas
Rough awakening for short-vol dreamers
The VIX, known also as the Wall Street’s fear gauge, is the most common measure for expected volatility in the equity market. It is implicitly derived from the price of currently traded options on the S&P500 and over the years it evolved into an asset class of its own. Short-selling volatility Read more…