Download PDF Introduction Lead-lag relationships describe a simple claim: asset X may embed information about asset Y at two different points in time. If this delay is systematic and measurable than a model can exploit such a structure to produce forecasts and ultimately trading signals. The challenge is that the Read more…
Download PDF Introduction Across different asset classes, volatility surfaces all tell different stories: in this article we let the data tell them unfiltered, building each surface directly on market quotes through interpolation rather than through the lens of a parametric model. Implied volatility surfaces are among the most informative objects Read more…
Download PDF Introduction Commodity-exporting currencies are structurally linked to the prices of their primary exports through the terms-of-trade channel. While this relationship holds in the long run, short-term dislocations frequently emerge due to monetary policy shifts, capital flows, and risk sentiment. This article develops a systematic cross-asset mean-reversion strategy that Read more…
Download PDF Introduction One of the most discussed topics in Q1 of 2026 is probably the current commodity “Supercycle”. Having become an extremely covered theme thanks to the stellar performance of precious metals (namely Gold and Silver), there seems to be a consensus among investment professionals on the fact that Read more…
Download PDF Introduction The global mining industry has recently been under the spotlight with the announcement of a $53bn merger deal between Anglo American [LSE: AAL] and Teck Resources [TSX: TECK.A], the largest deal in the sector in over a decade. Mining remains a cornerstone of the global economy. From Read more…
Download PDF Introduction Following poor harvests in Africa due to bad weather throughout the year, hedge funds have been pouring money into the long trade since last year betting on a continued shortage of supply. Across the two cocoa futures contracts, London and New York, speculators have a total of Read more…
Download PDF Commodity futures have become a widespread vehicle amongst investors and traders as they can be used for strategic and tactical asset allocation. The strategic appeal of commodity indices comes from the equity-like return, their key diversification role, and their inflation-hedging properties. The term structure of commodities usually refers Read more…
Download PDF Introduction Commodity Swaps are a widely used instrument for hedging and speculation in the commodities markets. Like other swaps, they are an OTC instrument where two counterparties agree on exchanging some cashflows based on the trend of an underlying security (most often oil, but also other commodities like Read more…
Download PDF US The week in the US markets was marked by choppy trading, with most indices being down during the week but recuperating their losses during the Friday rally. The S&P ended its longest weekly losing streak of the year by closing at +0.48%, the Nasdaq and the Russell Read more…
Download PDF An Introduction to the Dairy Industry The dairy industry’s global value in 2022 was around $893 billion and is projected to grow $1243 billion by 2028 having witnessed strong growth in the past years with a strong likelihood for that momentum to continue. It is currently facing some Read more…
Download PDF US The week in US markets was marked by losses in all major indices apart from the Nasdaq and Russell 2000, up 0.06% and 0.48% respectively. The S&P closed the week down 0.74%, the Dow Jones was down 1.34%, the Russell 3000 Value and Growth were down 0.89% Read more…
Download PDF US The week in the US market was marked by big losses in regional banks stocks, as First Republic failed. The S&P500 lost 0.8% for the week, the Dow Jones was down 1.24% and the Russell 3000 Value was down 1.71%. While the Nasdaq and Russell 3000 Growth Read more…
Download PDF US The US stock market closed the month of April with the S&P posting monthly gains for the second month in a row, adding 0.87% for the week and 1.5% for the month. All US indexes closed the week in the green, with the only exception of the Read more…
Download PDF Introduction The reopening of China’s economy in 2023 has been welcomed with optimism and anticipation as it offers a potential return to pre-pandemic growth. The Chinese government’s decision to reopen has led to an increase in the prices of many assets related to the country and has spurred Read more…
Download PDF Industry Overview Uranium is a heavy metal that has been used as a concentrated energy source for more than 60 years. It is extracted from uranium-rich minerals, such as uraninite. Uranium ore can be mined either open-pit or underground and is then crushed and treated in a mill Read more…