Quick Overview Argentina is one of the largest economies of South America, with a Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of more than USD 540bn. It enjoys good relations with most of the countries in the region, particularly Brazil and Venezuela. The country also plays a leading role in regional policymaking as Read more…
Commodities rout is one of the key themes that have characterised 2015. Further to oil and gold (which we covered last week https://bsic.it/future-gold-full-hedge-role-risk/), several basic resources, like industrial metals, have been suffering for months, but they may be affected by slightly different factors than the former. Through this article, we Read more…
Can volatility indices provide useful signals on the “underlying” market? We tried to figure it out analysing some relations between the VIX and other indices provided by the Chicago Board Options Exchange. The VIX index, which is derived from prices of a basket of out-of-the-money options on the S&P500, represents Read more…
Historically, correlation among different risky assets has increased during periods of financial crisis: losses in one market spread to others, thus creating “contagion”. The increased correlation phenomenon is confirmed by our previous analysis on the topic (https://bsic.it/new-old-high-correlation/). Furthermore, there is also the so-called “flight to quality”, meaning that investors move Read more…
[edmc id= 3236]Download here the Ferrari Pitch[/edmc] After having covered the IPO of Ferrari (https://bsic.it/wanna-flawless-ferrari-52-now-feasible/) in detail a couple of weeks ago, we are now trying to identify RACE’s market positioning in terms of multiples. The structure of the analysis is as follows: firstly, we plot Ferrari’s positioning against major automakers Read more…
The VIX, known also as the Wall Street’s fear gauge, is the most common measure for expected volatility in the equity market. It is implicitly derived from the price of currently traded options on the S&P500 and over the years it evolved into an asset class of its own. Short-selling volatility Read more…
The purpose of the article is to provide an explanation on the economic policies of the third largest economy in the world. In particular, explanation of Abenomics’ three arrows, their effects on Japanese economy and our view on the next steps that policy makers are likely to undertake. With this Read more…
If you answered no to the question above, you have not probably read our article on the Italian energy market one year ago (you can find it here, it is not everything lost yet). As some of you might remember, we suggested to go long A2A, the multi-utility of Brescia Read more…
For the first time after the diesel emissions scandal, Volkswagen is putting forward a new issue of Asset backed Securities collateralized by auto lease receivables. Volkswagen Financial Services first started moving off balance sheet its lease receivables in 1996, expanding the range of securitized assets to loan receivables in 2004. Read more…
One of the tools traders have found to cope with the shortcomings of the Black and Scholes models has been to allow for non-flat volatilities, which means that the implied volatility of an option does not depend merely on the historical volatility in the underlying, but also on the strike Read more…
The TMT market underwent profound changes during the last years, consolidating the best practice businesses and asking for a reshape of the others. That is the case of Nokia (NOK). In fact, it gave up to Microsoft the Devices & Services division in 2013 and, at the beginning of August Read more…
Given the recent market volatility, and the prolonged commodity rout, we decided to investigate whether some long-term relationships are still present on the market. And, of course, we looked for potential trades arising from the situation. We analysed different commodities on different time-frames (from 5-minute to weekly data). While noise Read more…
Driven by strong growth in China, the announcement of QE in the Eurozone and a solid recovery in the US, the automotive sector experienced a remarkable rally since the beginning of the year to the end of June. The SXAP (STOXX Europe 600 Automobiles & Parts Index) expanded more than Read more…
After weeks of firm bull sentiment, major equity markets (especially European ones) have experienced a fast correction that, although small compared to the incredible year-to-date performance, has started to disturb the overall view of investors. Such a movement has coincided with a rebound on the EUR/USD, which postponed the breakout Read more…
The Move. The PBoC has recently cut the Required Reserve Ratio (RRR) to 18.5%. The RRR represents the portion of cash that banks must deposit with the central bank. The size of the cut has been 100 basis point, double the expected 0.50%. A cut of the RRR represents a Read more…