Download PDF Introduction Inflation is back. After more than 10 years with inflation rates at around 1-2% in most developed economies, governments and central banks are now being confronted with significantly higher inflation rates. This increasing rate of cost of living has prompted a majority of the central banks worldwide, Read more…
Download PDF Latest trends in Equity Capital Markets In 2021, Equity capital markets showed an outstanding recovery from 2020, with the S&P 500 closing at historic highs throughout the year. The first half of the year saw a substantial improvement in investor confidence with the passage of the American Rescue Read more…
Download PDF Recently, there has been a slew of deals in the commercial real estate sector, with Blackstone being the most notable player. However, before analysing the reasoning behind these developments it is necessary to first understand the workings of the real estate private equity industry in its current form. Read more…
Download PDF Introduction Fixed income investments allow investors to generate steady cashflows in the future, diversify equity exposure, and lower portfolio volatility. Current inflationary pressures, tighter monetary policy, and concerns about the prospect of rising interest rates are making investors question how strategic exposure to fixed income securities can help Read more…
Download PDF Introduction Is the energy inflation in Europe transitory or structural? The plethora of factors that are affecting the energy market highlights the complexity of this question. The kind of inflation seen in energy is catching some Governments on their back foot, in need of rapid reactions. With many Read more…
Download PDF Introduction In the following article we will shortly analyse the implications of the current macroeconomic environment for equities, and we will propose a trade idea on a small cap stock we have identified in the Italian stock market. The Macroeconomic Background In the last week it has become Read more…
Download PDF Introduction A specter is in the horizon for US investors: the specter of inflation. As the fed policy objectives shifted toward allowing a brief term inflation “overshoot” the 10-year and 5-year breakeven inflation rates, the differential between TIPS and nominal bond yields, have reached new heights in the Read more…
Download PDF Introduction We continue our series on the impact of negative interest rate policies (NIRP) on various asset classes by looking at equities valuations this time. The years after the Great Financial Crisis have brought secular macroeconomic, policy and structural shifts, which have resulted in an unmatched collapse in Read more…
Download PDF This article is part of our series that discusses the impact of low and negative interest rates on several asset classes. Here we will focus on the implications of NIRP on fixed income products. Introduction Today’s low or negative interest rates have already been experienced other times in Read more…
Download PDF US US stocks went further into top territory this week. S&P was up 14.50% YTD at 3,699.12 points; DJIA up 5.89% YTD at 30,218.2 points, recording the best monthly performance since 1987. Similarly, small-cap Russel 2000, up 13.36% YTD at 1,891.35 points, showed its best gain since inception, Read more…
Download PDF The Lira, inflation and COVID-19: an overview of the Turkish economy Political context Turkey’s political scene was recently in the news with the departure of Finance Minister Mr. Albayrak, a powerful politician and the Turkish President’s son-in-law. The departure of Mr. Albayrak was seen as favourably by investors, Read more…
An overview of inflation interpretations In the following article, we are going to examine the current framework of monetary policy – inflation targeting – with a focus on the evolution of the inflation process Post-Bretton Woods and its effects on the current regime of price stability. In the post-war era, Read more…
Following the article from last week, we now investigate the Inflation Risk Premium. We start by introducing the role inflation plays in monetary policy decisions and what are the mechanics of the Inflation Risk Premium, which is one of the most important drivers of market-based inflation rate. Then we analyse Read more…
“Inflation is when you pay fifteen dollars for the ten-dollar haircut you used to get for five dollars when you had hair” Sam Ewing Inflation is an elusive phenomenon which is sometimes dubbed a “hidden tax”, eroding purchasing power and returns. This article is the first in a series of Read more…
Introduction As we noted in our final publication of 2017, the year 2017 was characterized by very low volatility and stable positive returns on the majority of stock markets. This took place even despite the start of stimulus withdrawal by major central banks which was seen in the gradual increase Read more…