Markets
WHAT DRIVES CREDIT? Understanding the Cross Section of Expected Corporate Bond Returns (Part II)
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Markets
The Econometrics of Tech Stocks
Download PDF Introduction We are now over a year and a half into the Covid pandemic. Disruptive as this exogenous shock has been, markets have quickly recovered, and proceeded to reach one new record after the other. More interestingly, several information technology stocks have stood the challenge without a bruise. Read more…
Markets
An Estimation of the Risk Premium as Function of the VIX
Download as PDF Introduction The expected excess market return, or equity risk premium, is an unobservable element crucial in many financial applications ranging from corporate finance to asset pricing. Over the years, many researchers have studied the expected market return by tackling the estimation from different perspectives leading Welch, Goyal Read more…
Currencies Markets Quantitative Finance Trade Ideas
Behind the Yen rally: Japan’s era of negative rates
Japanese Yen touched a 17-month high of Y107.61 versus the US dollar this Monday. The safe haven currency has rallied more than 10 percent after Bank of Japan’s surprising negative interest rate decision on banks’ excess reserves in late January. Japanese government also sold 10-year bonds with a yield below Read more…
Markets Single Stocks Trade Ideas
Ferrari: too fast outside the circuit?
[edmc id= 3236]Download here the Ferrari Pitch[/edmc] After having covered the IPO of Ferrari (https://bsic.it/wanna-flawless-ferrari-52-now-feasible/) in detail a couple of weeks ago, we are now trying to identify RACE’s market positioning in terms of multiples. The structure of the analysis is as follows: firstly, we plot Ferrari’s positioning against major automakers Read more…
Markets Single Stocks Trade Ideas
Daimler – Shifting into the next gear
Driven by strong growth in China, the announcement of QE in the Eurozone and a solid recovery in the US, the automotive sector experienced a remarkable rally since the beginning of the year to the end of June. The SXAP (STOXX Europe 600 Automobiles & Parts Index) expanded more than Read more…
Markets Single Stocks Trade Ideas
FCA: the price of ambition
On May 6th, Sergio Marchionne has announced an ambitious, probably unnecessarily bullish, five-year plan at the Chrysler division’s headquarters in Auburn Hills, near Detroit. Through this article, we are going to evaluate it and its impact on the stock price, from both the fundamental approach and the technical analysis methodology. Read more…
Markets Single Stocks Trade Ideas
The (un)stardardised banking sector
When we analysed luxury stocks, we stressed that the industry has faced a downturn, probably due to a kind of sector rotation. The same phenomenon has affected European banks and utilities in the opposite way. In this article, we focus on banks, proposing some ideas on how to trade them. Read more…